Covid-19: Daily new cases are exceeding infection forecasts

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For the past week, the daily number of Covid-19 cases have continued to exceed forecasts of infections due to members of the public not complying with social distancing rules.This comes as the national infectivity rate continued to climb yesterday, to 1.14. New cases over the past few weeks even exceeded the forecast of numbers for 'non-compliance to SOP' (see above chart in red).An infectivity rate or R-naught (R0) of 1.14 indicates that the outbreak is growing.A rate of 1.0 implies an outbreak is neither declining nor increasing.The infectivity rate of 10 states and territories are currently above 1, namely Sabah, Sarawak, Perlis, Terengganu, Kelantan, Perak, Kedah, Negeri Sembilan, Putrajaya, and Kuala Lumpur.Meanwhile, Selangor and Malacca's infectivity rate dropped to 0.98 and 0.91 respectively yesterday, from more than 1.0 on April 13.It was previously foreca…