Forecast: Over 3k Covid-19 cases per day by Hari Raya if SOPs are ignored

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COVID-19 | The Health Ministry has predicted that Malaysia’s Covid-19 situation will continue to worsen to over 3,000 cases per day by Hari Raya Aidilfitri if the standard operating procedures (SOPs) are not followed.Its updated forecast also showed that the cases could even reach nearly 5,000 per day by the end of May. Conversely, cases should shrink to around 500 cases per day by Hari Raya if SOPs are followed, and further still to around 300 cases per day by the end of May. Hari Raya is expected to fall on May 13.The ministry’s latest charts showed the country's Covid-19 situation is following the trajectory of the “non-compliance to SOP” scenario, which assumes the disease has an effective reproduction number (Rt) of 1.2.The “compliance to SOP” scenario instead assumes the Rt would fall from 1.2 to 0.8.For comparison, Malaysia recorded an average of 2,387 confirmed Cov…